Bushfire Climatology - explaining past bushfire weather and climate and how these may vary under climate change projections to build a better risk map for Victoria.
This research is being undertaken for the Victorian Department of Environment and Primary Industries (DEPI).
The aim of this project is to:
- explain the past bushfire weather and climate (including surface, synoptic and climate forcings) and how these may vary under climate change projections.
This will be achieved through:
- summarising historic bushfire weather and bushfire events and examining the changes in frequency, distribution, seasonality and fire danger over the last 40 years;
- identifying the preceding and concurrent climate and synoptic conditions to determine how these contribute/influence fire behaviour; and
- analysing the changes in bushfire weather and events under various climate change scenarios.
The project will provide DEPI with:
- development of a user interface for assessing modelled weather data;
- analysis of past fire events including changes in frequency, distribution and seasonality;
- identification of areas for planned burning based on the frequency and distribution of relevant fire weather;
- updated modelled climate dataset to include between fire season months;
- technical report on synoptic conditions and climate forcings influencing fires in Victoria; and
- identification of appropriate climate change scenarios and models to apply projections to fire risk.
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Publications from this Project
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