Emergency management organisations can now access an innovative new tool to help staff navigate an increasingly uncertain future.
Natural Hazards Research Australia (the Centre) have released the new Transformative scenarios in a climate-challenged world knowledge modules as part of a collaborative research project with AFAC.
Supporting future-focused strategy and organisational resilience, the modules have been designed to provide leaders with practical guidance to stress-test their planning against a range of plausible futures shaped by natural hazards and climate change.
The modules introduce four plausible futures to help leaders and planners explore alternative pathways and identify gaps in current strategies:
-
Tech horizons – A world driven by data and technology, but at the cost of social connectedness.
-
Balanced stewardship – Communities unite to responsibly steward the planet for future generations.
-
Filling the void – Corporations step into a leadership vacuum as community goodwill grows.
-
Fragmented era – Short-term thinking dominates, leaving collective resilience behind.
Designed to strengthen organisational capability, the modules help staff to anticipate emerging challenges, consider alternative pathways and improve strategic decision-making in the face of uncertainty.
The knowledge modules are the outcome of a highly collaborative project that worked closely with sector partners to ensure the resources are fit-for-purpose, relevant and easy to use and closely aligned with the Centre’s commitment to supporting the translation of research into practice
Guidance from the AFAC Climate Change Group, together with dedicated contributions from Katelyn Samson (AIDR), Matthew Dyer (Queensland Fire Department) and Daniel Willets (SAFECOM), informed the creation of these modules.