National Fire Danger Rating System Probabilistic Framework Project

The objective of the Probabilistic Framework Project is to develop a new consequence-based fire danger rating system able to integrate a wide range of variables and link their complex interactions to the probability of property loss. The project aims at delivering a spatially-explicit framework capable of generating daily maps representing the distribution of the probability of property loss at 10 kilometer spatial resolution.
During the first 12 months of the project, a new ‘consequence-based’ fire danger rating system has been developed. This system integrates a large range of environmental variables and fundamental processes governing fire behaviour to predict the probability of property loss from fire.